Aaron Judge’s 2025 Season: Will He Smash 60 Home Runs Again?

As baseball fans eagerly anticipate the 2025 season, one question looms large: can Aaron Judge, the New York Yankees’ star outfielder, replicate his historic home run feats? After an extraordinary 2022 season where he smashed 62 home runs, setting the American League record, and a strong follow-up in 2024, Judge is once again in the spotlight. As of March 27, 2025, he has already hit 41 home runs, putting him on pace for an impressive 58 this season. But will he break the 60-home run barrier again?

Historical Context and Recent Performance

In 2022, Judge’s remarkable performance not only earned him the AL MVP award but also placed him in the annals of baseball history. Following that, he continued to demonstrate his offensive prowess in 2024, leading the league with 58 home runs and 144 RBIs. This performance secured him a second consecutive AL MVP award, showcasing his ability to deliver in high-pressure situations.

However, the road to 60 home runs is fraught with challenges. Injuries have plagued Judge in the past, and his health will be a critical factor in determining his success this season. As many fans and analysts know, staying on the field is just as important as hitting the ball out of the park.

Current Projections and Expert Opinions

According to projections, Judge is expected to hit around 49.5 home runs and 118.5 RBIs in 2025. While these numbers are slightly below his 2024 performance, they still reflect his elite status as one of the league’s top hitters. Advanced metrics support this optimism, with Judge leading the MLB in expected home runs at 56.2.

Experts are divided on whether Judge will surpass the 60-home run mark again. Betting odds reflect mixed opinions, with some analysts favoring the under. However, many believe that if Judge can maintain his form and stay healthy, he has a solid chance to lead the league in home runs once again.

Impact of Team Dynamics

The Yankees’ lineup presents both opportunities and challenges for Judge. While he has the potential to thrive, the depth of the lineup could significantly impact his chances of hitting home runs. Players like Juan Soto and Giancarlo Stanton are crucial for providing protection in the batting order. If Judge faces intentional walks due to a lack of strong hitters behind him, his home run opportunities may dwindle.

Moreover, the Yankees’ remaining schedule includes matchups against teams with varying pitching strengths. This variability could influence Judge’s home run totals as he faces different styles of pitching throughout the season.

Unique Challenges and Milestones

Historically, only four players have hit 50 or more home runs in consecutive seasons, making Judge’s pursuit of 60 even more significant. If he achieves this milestone, he would join an elite group of players who have accomplished such a feat multiple times. The significance of this achievement cannot be understated, as it would further solidify Judge’s legacy in baseball history.

Additionally, Judge has previously shown he can hit 19 home runs in a 47-game span. If he can maintain this pace, the 60-home run mark is well within reach, especially in a favorable hitting environment like Yankee Stadium, known for its home-run-friendly dimensions.

Conclusion: The Road Ahead

As the 2025 season unfolds, all eyes will be on Aaron Judge. Fans and analysts alike are eager to see if he can replicate his past success and once again challenge for the 60-home run milestone. The combination of his historical performance, current projections, and the dynamics of the Yankees’ lineup creates an intriguing narrative for the season.

Whether Judge smashes 60 home runs or not, one thing is clear: his performance will be closely monitored and celebrated. As baseball continues to evolve, Judge’s pursuit of greatness remains a captivating story, one that will keep fans on the edge of their seats throughout the season.

In the end, the question remains: Will Aaron Judge smash 60 home runs again in 2025? Only time will tell, but for now, the baseball world waits with bated breath.